Rough Weather Ahead

wetcar
Alerts
1) SE winds 20-35 mph with gusts potentially 40-50 mph Saturday west county.
2) Heavy rain Saturday with potential for small stream and urban flooding.
3) Potential high wind event Sunday evening/night.
Discussion
The first in a series of fall storms arrives this morning bringing light rain and breezy winds to the area. No major concerns are anticipated for this first event, however, two significantly stronger storms will be impacting the region over the weekend bringing both heavy rain and potentially strong, damaging winds. Due to the high sail factor of trees full of foliage, tree damage is very likely with this weekend’s storms.
In the short term, light rain develops this morning, then breaks up early this afternoon. A few showers will continue at times this afternoon and tonight with a large amount of dry time. Steady rain will be increasing early Saturday morning as the second event begins to move in. Expect rain all day Saturday, becoming heavy in the afternoon with concern for urban and small stream flooding. Heaviest rain will be over the east part of the county. Gusty SE winds will also be increasing on Saturday with gusts potentially 40-50 mph west county.
Extended
Periods of rain and gusty winds will continue Saturday night through the day Sunday. Next timeframe of concern is Sunday evening/night for a potential high wind event. Timing and details of this potential wind event will likely change of the next couple days, but it something to watch closely. Monday and Tuesday of next week should be calmer, but still cool and showery.